Section 04 · Confirm & Replicate
Test Your Hypotheses
Run formal hypothesis tests with your chosen IV, DV, and control set. Inspect full model output, compare results across election years, and replicate findings with alternative specifications.
ANES Hub › Confirm & Replicate
Discover first, then Confirm. Use the Discover section to identify candidate predictors from LASSO rankings, then come here to test a specific hypothesis with your own control specification.
Core tool
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Hypothesis Test
Choose your DV, select one or more IVs, add controls, and run a weighted logistic or OLS regression on ANES data. Results include coefficients, standard errors, p-values, model fit (R²/AUC), and marginal effects — exportable as a clean table.
Custom IV/DV/controls Weighted regression OLS + Logistic Year selection
Open Hypothesis Test →
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Output Explorer
Browse saved model runs, compare specifications side by side, and inspect full coefficient tables from previously run hypothesis tests. Great for robustness checks and building a replication archive.
Saved runs Side-by-side compare Coefficient tables
Open Output Explorer →
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Recommended Workflow

Find your DV using Discover

Search for your outcome variable in the Variable Browser or ask Pulse "What predicts [X]?" to confirm it's in the model set.

Go to Discover →

Note the top LASSO predictors

From the DV discovery card or IV Explorer, identify candidate IVs — variables with high partial coefficients that survive regularization.

Build your hypothesis test

In the Hypothesis Test, set your focal IV, add standard demographic controls (age, gender, race, education, income), and choose your election year(s).

Open Hypothesis Test →

Check the coefficient and p-value

Confirm statistical significance of your IV. Review model fit (R²/AUC) and whether controls are behaving as expected theoretically.

Replicate across years

Re-run the same specification on different election years. Stable coefficients across years strengthen causal inference.

Standard demographic controls (recommended for most models): Age (VCF0101), Gender (VCF0104), Race (VCF0105B), Education (VCF0110), Income (VCF0114). The Hypothesis Test will suggest these automatically based on your DV.
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Index & Replication Lab
Four canonical indices · theory replication
Open Lab →

The Lab is where raw ANES survey items are assembled into the composite indices that political scientists actually use in research — and where Pulse re-runs the landmark studies that established those constructs. It lets you inspect scale reliability (Cronbach's α), view the item distribution, and launch a hypothesis test with the index as a predictor (IV) in any model you build. Each index is a continuous variable wired directly into the Hypothesis Test engine.

Authoritarianism Index
Child-rearing values scale
Measures preference for obedience vs. autonomy in child-rearing as a proxy for authoritarian personality. Flagship index of the Lab.
Replication: Hetherington & Weiler — how authoritarianism structures the modern partisan divide
Racial Resentment Index
Symbolic racism scale
Four-item scale measuring resentment-based racial attitudes that shape policy opinions beyond explicit prejudice.
Replication: Kinder & Sanders — racial resentment as a driver of policy opinion
Political Trust Index
Trust in government scale
Multi-item scale capturing confidence in federal government responsiveness, honesty, and competence — tracked since 1958.
Replication: Miller (1974) — political trust and electoral discontent
Social Trust Index
Generalized interpersonal trust
Measures generalized trust in other people — a foundation of civic participation and social capital in democratic societies.
Replication: Putnam — social trust and civic engagement
Open Index & Replication Lab →